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住建部專家:中國人均住宅1.1套 住房市場空間很大

重慶渝開發股份有限公司網站  www.lzg521.com  2018/10/19  來源: 中國經濟網

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近日,住建部住房政策專家委員會副主任、全國房地產商會聯盟主席顧云昌在博智宏觀論壇第三十二次月度例會上表示,現在中國住宅人均1.1套,人均建筑面積大概在35平米-40平米之間。他認為,中國住房市場還有很大發展空間。

“現在中國住宅人均1.1套,面積也不少了。中國住房總量滿足了?不用多大發展了嗎?”顧云昌說,答案是否定的。

他首先從人均面積指出,中國人均建筑面積現在大概在35至40平米之間,與一些西方發達國家差不多,但發達國家的面積是使用面積或者室內面積,比中國的建筑面積大25%到30%,所以人均面積并沒有到位。

接著從城鎮化水平說,中國現在城鎮化率58%,戶籍人口的城鎮化率42%左右。從42%或58%到基本實現城鎮化的70%,未來還會有多少人進城?房子夠不夠?

顧云昌認為,目前最多是階段性的飽和,拆舊建新還會帶來大量的需求,加上家庭小型化和老齡化,會導致喪偶老人獨居、年輕人一人家庭越來越多。他引用數據說,發達國家一人家庭在15-20%,中國現在是6-7%,未來必然增加住房套數。

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